Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.316268 2.528574 2.755871 3.018028 3.312930 3.635419 4.016117
2025-11-09 1.951889 2.230487 2.546884 2.935340 3.402868 3.951822 4.651661
2025-11-16 1.735075 2.048305 2.419466 2.896641 3.501032 4.250936 5.267562
2025-11-23 1.587507 1.923053 2.334394 2.883434 3.608951 4.552241 5.901174
2025-11-30 1.508393 1.869731 2.326420 2.957217 3.824203 5.002391 6.776515
2025-12-07 1.408116 1.778144 2.257559 2.938678 3.906107 5.271136 7.420744
2025-12-14 1.317601 1.690827 2.184949 2.904623 3.957236 5.493870 8.015725
2025-12-21 1.214867 1.579180 2.069953 2.799301 3.892036 5.532966 8.321485
2025-12-28 1.161738 1.531293 2.038614 2.809407 3.995429 5.833805 9.084354
2026-01-04 1.121142 1.497685 2.024102 2.841318 4.132204 6.197378 9.998897
2026-01-11 1.085919 1.469066 2.014051 2.877701 4.276978 6.585901 11.009808
2026-01-18 1.051793 1.439668 2.000329 2.906184 4.409591 6.965164 12.056937
2026-01-25 1.014793 1.404854 1.977556 2.920565 4.523313 7.329948 13.148753
2026-02-01 0.958732 1.338746 1.903401 2.846815 4.480126 7.407742 13.672508
2026-02-08 0.916255 1.290877 1.854444 2.810453 4.497949 7.598343 14.462205
2026-02-15 0.882562 1.254635 1.821418 2.797879 4.556119 7.870345 15.474784
2026-02-22 0.869644 1.249655 1.837311 2.868886 4.772076 8.474954 17.361609
2026-03-01 0.838874 1.215124 1.803529 2.851054 4.819575 8.743549 18.495910
2026-03-08 0.807179 1.177660 1.762940 2.818291 4.835148 8.946368 19.503629
2026-03-15 0.764065 1.120183 1.686638 2.716934 4.708653 8.831554 19.662374
2026-03-22 0.744812 1.100394 1.672180 2.726662 4.803069 9.209615 21.225085
2026-03-29 0.730518 1.087988 1.669396 2.757375 4.942099 9.704000 23.226636
2026-04-05 0.717711 1.077412 1.669069 2.792386 5.092740 10.244047 25.496964